Stanley's blog

I was amazed to read about hours-long queues outside polling booths set up for early voting in 46 of the 50 American states ahead of the 4 November election day. Voter’s intentions could normally be influenced by what happens between now and 4 November.

Substantial numbers of early voters are predicted. This could be a big advantage to Obama, because these voters will not be affected by:·

  • a McCain recovery: Obama is currently riding high
  • a serious Obama faux pas
  • an Al-Qaida intervention

Furthermore, early voting will facilitate first time voting, a major benefit to Obama as he has succeeded in attracting large numbers of such voters.

This convinces me, not just that Obama will win, but that there will be a landslide.

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